Texas Longhorns Football Blue-Chip Ratio 2020

Texas quarterback Colt McCoy (12) celebrates with the trophy following their win in the NCAA college football Big 12 Conference championship game against Nebraska, Saturday, Dec. 5, 2009, in Arlington, Texas. Texas won 13-12. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)

One of the most important indicators of winning the National Championship, as the Texas Longhorns last did in 2005, is the Blue Chip Ratio. College teams that have a Blue Chip Ratio above 50% have won the National Championship 100% of the time. In other words, those teams under 50% have no chance to win the Natty.

No wonder Blue Blood college Football programs such as Texas are coveted, as Texas has surpassed this 50% mark every year (except one, in 2017). If you don’t surpass 50%, you don’t win a Natty…period.

As a reminder, the Blue Chip Ratio is the percentage of 4 and 5 star players (Blue Chips) that a team has over the past 4 years. The 2020 Blue Chip Ratio for Texas is calculated as follows (see Table 1 below):

Texas 2020 Blue-Chip Ratio

YEARBlue-ChipNon-Blue-Chip
2017711
2018198
2019179
2020164
Totals5932
Table 1. Blue Chip data for 2017-2020 for the Texas Longhorns

So for 2020, the estimated Blue-Chip Ratio for Texas is: 59/(59+32) = 0.65, or 65%:

2020 Texas Longhorns Blue Chip Ratio: 65%

This is an increase over 2019, where the Blue-Chip Ratio for Texas was 0.60, or 60%. Only 13 other teams can claim a Blue-Chip Ratio above 50% for 2020. Here are the teams who have Blue-Chip Ratios above 50% in 2020 (see Figure 1 below):

2020 Blue Chip Ratio
Figure 1. 2020 Blue Chip Ratio above 50%

Texas is ranked 4th on the 2020 Blue Chip Ratio list and is rapidly climbing the rankings. With all this talent and a high Blue Chip Ratio of 65%, there are no more excuses for Texas: win the Big 12 Title, and make it to the playoffs.

Credits: All raw data from https://247sports.com/. Data extraction, wrangling, and analytics performed in Python on the Anaconda platform by Carlo Carandang. Code for this analysis can be found here: https://github.com/Carlo-Carandang/blue_chip_ratio.

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