One of the most important indicators of winning the National Championship, as the Texas Longhorns last did in 2005, is the Blue Chip Ratio. College teams that have a Blue Chip Ratio above 50% have won the National Championship 100% of the time. In other words, those teams under 50% have no chance to win the Natty.
No wonder Blue Blood college Football programs such as Texas are coveted, as Texas has surpassed this 50% mark every year (except one, in 2017). If you don’t surpass 50%, you don’t win a Natty…period.
As a reminder, the Blue Chip Ratio is the percentage of 4 and 5 star players (Blue Chips) that a team has over the past 4 years. The 2020 Blue Chip Ratio for Texas is calculated as follows (see Table 1 below):
Texas 2020 Blue-Chip Ratio
So for 2020, the estimated Blue-Chip Ratio for Texas is: 59/(59+32) = 0.65, or 65%:
2020 Texas Longhorns Blue Chip Ratio: 65%
This is an increase over 2019, where the Blue-Chip Ratio for Texas was 0.60, or 60%. Only 13 other teams can claim a Blue-Chip Ratio above 50% for 2020. Here are the teams who have Blue-Chip Ratios above 50% in 2020 (see Figure 1 below):
Texas is ranked 4th on the 2020 Blue Chip Ratio list and is rapidly climbing the rankings. With all this talent and a high Blue Chip Ratio of 65%, there are no more excuses for Texas: win the Big 12 Title, and make it to the playoffs.
Credits: All raw data from https://247sports.com/. Data extraction, wrangling, and analytics performed in Python on the Anaconda platform by Carlo Carandang. Code for this analysis can be found here: https://github.com/Carlo-Carandang/blue_chip_ratio.