Texas Longhorns Football Blue-Chip Ratio 2022

Here is an analysis of the 2022 Blue Chip Ratio for the Texas Longhorns. The 2022 Texas Longhorns football recruiting cycle started with the early signing period in mid-December 2021. As of July 21, 2022, the Longhorns signed 28 recruits, of which 22 were Blue Chip recruits (5- and 4-star).

One of the most important indicators of winning the National Championship, as the Texas Longhorns last did in 2005, is the Blue Chip Ratio. College teams that have a Blue Chip Ratio above 50% have won the National Championship 100% of the time. In other words, those teams under 50% have no chance to win the Natty.

Texas is a Blue Blood college football program that has surpassed this 50% mark every year (except one, in 2017). This has translated into 4 National Championships, the latest one in 2005, and Texas playing for a Natty in 2009 against Alabama, where Texas should have won the game if Colt McCoy did not get hurt in the first quarter of that game.

As a reminder, the Blue Chip Ratio is the percentage of 4 and 5 star players (Blue Chips) that a team has over the past 4 years. The 2022 Blue Chip Ratio for Texas is calculated as follows (see Table 1 below):

Texas 2022 Blue-Chip Ratio


Table 1. Blue Chip data for 2019-2022 for the Texas Longhorns

So for 2022, the Blue-Chip Ratio for Texas is: 66/(66+31) = 0.68, or 68%:

2022 Texas Longhorns Blue Chip Ratio: 68%

This is an increase over 2021, where the the Blue Chip Ratio for Texas was 0.66, or 66%. Only 14 other teams can claim a Blue-Chip Ratio above 50% for 2022. Here are the teams who have Blue-Chip Ratios above 50% in 2022 (see Figure 1 below):

Texas is ranked 6th on the 2022 Blue Chip Ratio list, which is a slight increase from 7th place in 2021. With all this talent and a high Blue Chip Ratio of 68%, there are no more excuses for Texas: win the Big 12 Title, and eventually make it to the playoffs.

Credits: All raw data from https://247sports.com/. Data extraction, wrangling, and analytics performed in Python on the Anaconda platform by Carlo Carandang. Code for this analysis can be found here: https://github.com/Carlo-Carandang/blue_chip_ratio.

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