
The Blue-Chip Ratio is the most important statistic in College Football, as teams who win the National Championship have a Blue-Chip Ratio above 0.5, or 50%. The Blue-Chip Ratio is calculated by summing-up, over the past 4 recruiting cycles, all the 5-star and 4-star recruits (also known as Blue-Chip Recruits), then dividing that by the total number of recruits (which includes the 3-star and 2-star recruits). Teams who have a Blue-Chip Ratio below 50% are not likely to win the National Championship. Hence, this is why Blue-Bloods, such as Texas, focus on this statistic, as it is vital to their chances of winning the National Championship.
The good news for Texas is that their Blue-Chip Ratio has been above 50% and has increased over the last 2 years. The only year Texas was off the list was in 2017, as Coach Mack Brown and Coach Charlie Strong did not recruit as well in the early to mid-2010’s. However, recruiting has significantly improved under Coach Tom Herman, who brought in the nation’s 3rd-ranked recruiting class in 2018 and repeated as the 3rd-ranked class in 2019.
The Blue-Chip Ratio for Texas in 2019 was finalized after National Signing Day on February 6, 2019. Here is the 2019 Blue-Chip Ratio for Texas:
Texas 2019 Blue-Chip Ratio
YEAR | Blue-Chip | Non-Blue-Chip |
2016 | 16 | 13 |
2017 | 7 | 11 |
2018 | 19 | 8 |
2019 | 17 | 7 |
Totals | 59 | 39 |
So for 2019, the estimated Blue-Chip Ratio for Texas is: 59/(59+39) = 0.60, or 60%. This is an increase over 2018, where the Blue-Chip Ratio for Texas was 0.55, or 55%. Only 12 other teams can claim a Blue-Chip Ratio above 50% for 2018. Here are the teams who have Blue-Chip Ratios above 50% in 2018:
2018 Blue-Chip Ratio Teams above 50%
Team | Blue-Chips |
---|---|
Alabama | 77% |
Ohio State | 76% |
USC | 71% |
Georgia | 69% |
Florida State | 67% |
LSU | 63% |
Auburn | 62% |
Clemson | 61% |
Michigan | 57% |
Texas | 55% |
Oklahoma | 53% |
Penn State | 53% |
Notre Dame | 51% |
Texas is well on its way to contending for National Championships again, because its high Blue-Chip Ratio is the best indicator of Texas being back. Ok, cool, Hookem!