Texas Longhorns Football Blue-Chip Ratio 2019 (updated)

Deborah Cannon/AMERICAN-STATESMAN Vince Young celebrates after the National Championship game at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, California on Wednesday January 4, 2006.

The Blue-Chip Ratio is the most important statistic in College Football, as teams who win the National Championship have a Blue-Chip Ratio above 0.5, or 50%. The Blue-Chip Ratio is calculated by summing-up, over the past 4 recruiting cycles, all the 5-star and 4-star recruits (also known as Blue-Chip Recruits), then dividing that by the total number of recruits (which includes the 3-star and 2-star recruits). Teams who have a Blue-Chip Ratio below 50% are not likely to win the National Championship. Hence, this is why Blue-Bloods, such as Texas, focus on this statistic, as it is vital to their chances of winning the National Championship.

The good news for Texas is that their Blue-Chip Ratio has been above 50% and has increased over the last 2 years. The only year Texas was off the list was in 2017, as Coach Mack Brown and Coach Charlie Strong did not recruit as well in the early to mid-2010’s. However, recruiting has significantly improved under Coach Tom Herman, who brought in the nation’s 3rd-ranked recruiting class in 2018 and repeated as the 3rd-ranked class in 2019.

The Blue-Chip Ratio for Texas in 2019 was finalized after National Signing Day on February 6, 2019. Here is the 2019 Blue-Chip Ratio for Texas:

Texas 2019 Blue-Chip Ratio

YEARBlue-ChipNon-Blue-Chip
20161613
2017711
2018198
2019177
Totals5939

So for 2019, the estimated Blue-Chip Ratio for Texas is: 59/(59+39) = 0.60, or 60%. This is an increase over 2018, where the Blue-Chip Ratio for Texas was 0.55, or 55%. Only 12 other teams can claim a Blue-Chip Ratio above 50% for 2018. Here are the teams who have Blue-Chip Ratios above 50% in 2018:

2018 Blue-Chip Ratio Teams above 50%

TeamBlue-Chips
Alabama77%
Ohio State76%
USC71%
Georgia69%
Florida State67%
LSU63%
Auburn62%
Clemson61%
Michigan57%
Texas55%
Oklahoma53%
Penn State53%
Notre Dame51%

Texas is well on its way to contending for National Championships again, because its high Blue-Chip Ratio is the best indicator of Texas being back. Ok, cool, Hookem!

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